Retaining value, reducing dependence
Europe already faces concentrated supply, export controls and long lead times for materials used in grids, buildings, healthcare, communications and industry. It needs to reduce avoidable demand, keep products and assets useful for longer, diversify essential supply, and prepare repair, substitution and mutual assistance before shortages disrupt services.
Keeping Europe working when material supplies are disrupted
Europe’s industries and essential services depend on material supply chains they do not fully control. Imports provide around half of the metal ores and 70% of the fossil-energy materials available to the EU economy, while China supplied 46.8% of EU rare-earth imports by weight in 2025. Concentrated processing, export controls and long lead times mean disruption at a mine, refinery, border or shipping route can delay grids, medical equipment, communications, housing and industrial maintenance.
Europe can lower this exposure by reducing avoidable primary demand, keeping products and assets useful for longer, building repair, reuse and remanufacturing capacity, and diversifying responsible primary supply. These measures can lower costs and pollution, retain value and skilled work in European regions, and preserve more options when supply tightens.
The proposed Circular Economy Act, the Critical Raw Materials Act and the RESourceEU Action Plan can align product rules, secondary-material markets, monitoring, preparedness and supply diversification. Their value will depend on implementation by Member States, infrastructure operators and firms.
Why the system is vulnerable
Europe’s policy mix still concentrates on securing additional supply and managing materials after they become waste. Both remain necessary, but they do less to address avoidable demand, short product lives and the value locked in existing assets. The Global Resources Outlook 2024 shows why efficiency, circularity and demand reduction need to work together rather than relying on supply expansion alone.
Dependence extends far beyond mines. Extraction and processing are geographically concentrated, while ownership, transport routes, specialist equipment, water, energy, inventories, software, skills and long production times can each constrain supply. A recent EU audit found diversification, funding and circularity measures insufficient or fragmented for several clean-energy technologies. A small missing component, repair skill or software licence can therefore interrupt a major service before aggregate scarcity is visible.
High throughput, weak repair and reuse markets and poor information about existing stocks remove options before a shock occurs. Responsibility is divided across EU institutions, Member States, regulators, infrastructure operators and firms. Warning signals need an agreed threshold, responsible authority, action, legal basis, finance and review process if they are to produce a timely response.
Responses can also transfer risk. Uncoordinated stockpiling can worsen scarcity for other buyers. Extraction can shift costs to communities, land and water systems unless finance and regulation reward rights, environmental performance and shared local value.
What Europe needs to do
- Reduce Europe’s primary-material dependence. Distinguish essential investment in housing, grids, clean technology and adaptation from avoidable throughput. Set sector pathways that obtain more service from products, buildings and infrastructure through durability, sharing, repair and adaptation, while maintaining responsible and diversified primary supply where it remains necessary.
- Turn existing material stocks into resilient infrastructure. Preserve durability, repairability, adaptability, information, reuse options and residual value throughout the working life of products and assets. Use design rules, useful passports, testing, certification, procurement and finance to turn retained components and high-quality secondary materials into credible alternatives to new extraction.
- Maintain essential services during disruption. Start with the minimum electricity, water, health, communications, mobility, housing and food services society must maintain, then map backwards through components, processing, software, skills, inventories and logistics. Link export controls, lead times and stock levels to predefined repair, substitution, prioritisation, reserve or mutual-assistance decisions before inventories are exhausted.
From priorities to practice
Reduce Europe’s primary-material dependence
1. Set material-use priorities · Proposed applicationEuropean and national authorities can distinguish essential investment from avoidable throughput and set pathways for lower primary demand and longer asset life.
Current policy often focuses on securing supply and managing materials after they become waste while leaving demand largely unchanged. A European material-use compass would set a shared direction and translate it into differentiated national and sector pathways reflecting infrastructure needs, economic structure and existing footprints.
Authorities can begin with a concise decision set: consumption-based footprint, primary-material demand, product and asset lifetime, repair and reuse, secondary-input quality and primary input displaced. Essential housing, grids and adaptation should be distinguished from short-lived or low-value uses. The Netherlands’ circular-economy programme, including its ambition to halve primary abiotic raw-material use by 2030, illustrates both the value and the implementation challenge of a directional goal.
UNEP and the International Resource Panel’s Global Resources Outlook 2024 provides global data, modelling and assessment of resource-use trends, impacts and distributional effects. It calls for sustainable resource-use pathways and aligned financial, trade and economic incentives. These global pathways are not agreed EU targets. Progress should show which services are maintained, who bears adjustment and whether primary demand and externalised impacts decline.
Turn existing material stocks into resilient infrastructure
2. Make product rules and passports useful · Existing practice and emerging approachRegulators and manufacturers can require durable, repairable and adaptable products and preserve the information owners and repairers need to keep them working.
Design determines whether a product can last, be upgraded, come apart safely and supply components or materials later. Passports should focus on information that changes decisions: composition, expected life, repair instructions, spare parts, remaining performance, safe disassembly, and end-of-use routes.
European product rules can require information and interoperability standards. Procurement, warranties, insurance and asset-management rules can then use that information in purchasing, maintenance and resale decisions. Requirements must remain proportionate for smaller firms and usable through changes in ownership and software. The EU battery passport is the most developed European test, with mandatory requirements due for several battery categories from February 2027. The Systemiq-led Battery Pass consortium has developed guidance on content, technical design, conformity, and value.
More data is not automatically better. Confidentiality, cybersecurity, interoperability, and administrative burdens need governance. Measure completed repairs, second-life use, component recovery, asset-life extension, and high-quality recycling, rather than the number of data fields recorded.
3. Create reliable secondary-material markets · Emerging approachStandards, procurement and investment can make reused components and secondary materials dependable enough for demanding applications and displace primary input.
Collection does not preserve value by itself. Selective dismantling, separation, grading, testing, certification, and upgrading determine whether components and materials return to equivalent or higher-value use.
European action can harmonise priority definitions and quality grades, support testing and upgrading infrastructure, certify reused components, and create early demand through public procurement. Rules should reward performance and actual primary displacement rather than assuming any recycled input has the same benefit.
Steel shows the problem: copper contamination can prevent scrap from returning to premium applications even when collection is high. Better design, selective dismantling, alloy separation, and quality classification improve both value and displacement. Systemiq’s Circular Steel analysis also shows that recycled-content requirements can create cross-border and emissions effects when suitable scrap is limited; its findings are modelled scenarios, not fixed policy targets. Track component reuse, quality-adjusted secondary input and primary material displaced.
4. Organise regional repair and reuse · Existing practice and emerging approachCities and industrial regions can map stocks and connect public purchasing with repair, remanufacturing, shared equipment, skills and finance.
Cities and regions are where material stocks, public assets, firms, workers, and procurement meet. Regional platforms can estimate when building components, machinery and materials become available, locate repair and processing capability and connect future supply to demand.
Local authorities can use planning, public-asset management, demolition rules, and procurement to preserve value. Firms can share testing, sorting, logistics, and upgrading equipment that would be uneconomic individually. Training providers and social partners can prepare workers for repair, remanufacturing, deconstruction, and certification. Smaller firms need proportionate procurement, finance and technical assistance.
Climate-KIC’s Hubs4Circularity shows how firms, cities and public authorities can exchange materials, heat, water, and by-products across organisational boundaries. Kalundborg and Lahti are established examples of the model, not proof that every hub improves supply-shock resilience. Track regional repair, testing and processing capacity, skills, investable projects, primary input displaced, and continuity outcomes.
5. Finance repair, reuse and residual value · Proposed applicationPublic financiers and asset owners can fund repair, reuse and remanufacturing and test whether credible residual values improve maintenance, renovation and deconstruction decisions.
Markets often undervalue longer asset life, repair, reuse, shared infrastructure and continuity capability. European and national institutions can coordinate project preparation, guarantees, concessional finance, procurement commitments, transition support for smaller firms, and contingent credit during temporary disruptions. Existing instruments should be tested before a new fund is created.
A Materials Bank pilot should begin as information and finance infrastructure, rather than as a physical warehouse. Well-characterised public buildings or property portfolios could document recoverable components, clarify ownership and rights, test quality and certification, estimate conservative residual values and connect future supply to buyers. The EU-funded Buildings as Material Banks project established a foundation through passports and reversible design; it did not prove the proposed financing model.
Material prices, recovery dates, ownership, safety, and liability remain uncertain. Valuations should be conservative and updated, and gains and risks should not fall unfairly on tenants or smaller firms. Track additional investment, asset-life extension, reusable components recovered, value retained, primary material displaced, and how benefits are distributed.
Maintain essential services during disruption
6. Plan materials around essential services · Proposed applicationAuthorities, regulators and operators can define minimum service levels and identify the components, processing, software, skills and inventories needed to maintain them.
Raw-material lists do not show which shortage can interrupt an essential service. Continuity planning should start with electricity, water, healthcare, mobility, communications, housing, food, or defence and map backwards through products, components, processing, maintenance tools, software access, skills, suppliers, transport, and lead times.
Authorities and operators can pilot this approach for electricity networks, batteries, medical equipment, telecommunications, water infrastructure, and selected transport or defence systems. Each plan should define the minimum service, map critical dependencies, test disruption scenarios, assess life extension, repair and substitution, and identify residual needs for diversified primary supply or reserves.
The Critical Raw Materials Act supports EU monitoring, stress testing, strategic stocks, supply diversification, and coordination through the Commission, Member States and the Critical Raw Materials Board. Continuity planning should connect this material-level work to service priorities, low-value parts, response times and operators’ existing maintenance and repair capacity. Track inventory cover, lead times, qualified alternatives, repair capacity, and performance against minimum service levels.
7. Link material warnings to decisions · Proposed applicationEuropean and national authorities can connect export controls, inventories, prices, lead times and service exposure to stress tests and proportionate responses.
The EU already monitors critical-material risks through Commission systems, the Raw Materials Information System, Member State reporting and the Critical Raw Materials Board. Firms and infrastructure operators hold additional data on inventories, contracts, component lead times, maintenance needs and qualified alternatives. A proposed material-risk and preparedness mechanism could connect these sources with information on production and processing concentration, export licensing, ownership, freight, factory outages, and exposure of essential services.
Each warning level should be tied in advance to an indicator and threshold, a responsible EU or national authority, and a defined measure such as enhanced industry coordination, changed procurement, accelerated repair, qualified substitution, temporary demand prioritisation, reserve release or mutual assistance. Plans should state the legal power, finance, duration, and review process. Regular exercises should test several countries seeking the same limited component at once.
The EU Stockpiling Strategy supports coordination of public and private stocks. Its application to industrial dependencies, prioritisation and stress tests still requires legal and operational review. Progress should track warning-to-action time, risks with named owners, exercises completed, inventory depletion, project delays, and corrective actions closed.
8. Create comparable global materials data · Longer-term directionProducer and consumer countries can improve comparable information on extraction, processing, trade, ownership, impacts and circular use for real supply and investment decisions.
Governments, firms and investors struggle to compare where materials are extracted, processed, traded, used, and discarded, who controls capacity and what environmental and social impacts occur. The immediate proposal is a Global Materials Data Hub that connects established sources and closes priority gaps rather than building a competing data universe.
A defined use case should come first. A copper pilot could combine demand, mine and refining capacity, trade routes, ownership, impacts, and opportunities for producer-country value creation, then test whether the information improves a specific decision. Governance should give producer countries a meaningful role and prevent better data from serving only large consuming economies.
The Hub is under conceptual development. A future International Materials Agency is contingent on demonstrated value, mandate, and political support; the International Resource Panel should remain the scientific assessment body. The IRP Co-Chairs’ Global Materials Stewardship call provides the wider transparency and coordination rationale. Progress should track real decisions improved, gaps closed, users served, and producer-country participation.
How the measures work together
Material-use priorities distinguish essential investment from avoidable throughput. Product rules and passports preserve the durability and information needed for repair and reuse; quality standards, regional facilities and finance then turn retained components and secondary materials into practical alternatives to primary supply.
Continuity plans identify the parts, processing, software and skills essential services need, while warning levels activate repair, substitution, prioritisation, reserves or mutual assistance before minimum-service thresholds are breached. Sequencing matters: passports need markets and finance, stockpiles need repair and substitution capacity, and secure European supply must not transfer water, land, labour or rights costs to producer regions.
What progress looks like
Continuity of essential services
- Electricity, water, healthcare, communications, mobility and other critical systems meet defined minimum service levels during shortages.
- Critical-component lead times, inventory risks and projects delayed by material constraints decline.
Lower dependence and retained value
- Primary-material demand and exposure to concentrated suppliers, processors and ownership decline where credible alternatives exist.
- Products and assets last longer, while repair, reuse and remanufacturing increase.
- High-quality components and secondary materials displace more primary input in equivalent uses.
Adaptive capability and fair supply
- Operators qualify alternative suppliers, designs, chemistries and materials more quickly.
- Regional repair, testing, certification, remanufacturing and processing capacity grows with relevant skilled employment.
- Supply partnerships improve transparency, rights, environmental performance and domestic value creation in producing economies.
Collection and recycling rates are insufficient on their own. Assessment should cover essential-service continuity, primary demand displaced, retained value, adaptive capability, external impacts and distribution.
Further reading
- Climate-KIC. (2025). Hubs4Circularity Community of Practice.
- Club of Rome. (2022). From greening the present system to real transformation: transforming resource use for human wellbeing and planetary stability.
- European Court of Auditors. (2026). Critical raw materials for the energy transition.
- International Resource Panel. (2024). Global Resources Outlook 2024.
- International Resource Panel. (2025). Financing the Responsible Supply of Energy Transition Minerals for Sustainable Development.
- International Resource Panel Co-Chairs. (2025). Global Materials Stewardship.
- Metabolic. (2022). Circularity in the Built Environment in Europe.
- Systemiq. (2022). Circular Economy and Resilience.
- World Resources Institute. (2023). Energy Minerals and Circularity.